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Using standard systems biology methodologies a 14-compartment dynamic model was developed for the Corona virus epidemic. The model predicts that: (i) it will be impossible to limit lockdown intensity such that sufficient herd immunity develops for this epidemic to die down, (ii) the death toll from the SARS-CoV-2 virus decreases very strongly with increasing intensity of the lockdown, but (iii) the duration of the epidemic increases at first with that intensity and then decreases again, such that ...

Programme: Model repository for M4 (Make Me My Model) clients of ISBE

Public web page: Not specified

Start date: 1st Mar 2020

End date: 24th Mar 2023

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